{"id":18533,"date":"2024-01-14T00:54:26","date_gmt":"2024-01-14T00:54:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/soicau1060.minhngocxoso.com\/?p=18533"},"modified":"2024-01-14T00:54:26","modified_gmt":"2024-01-14T00:54:26","slug":"xac-suat-lo-de-la-gi-cach-tinh-xac-suat-trung-lo-de-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xsmbsoicau68.com\/xac-suat-lo-de-la-gi-cach-tinh-xac-suat-trung-lo-de-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 g\u00ec?\u00a0C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"

L\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i kh\u00f3 \u0111o\u00e1n, ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c con s\u1ed1 h\u00f4m nay v\u1ec1 l\u00e0 bao nhi\u00eau.Tuy nhi\u00ean, nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 tr\u00fang cho l\u1ea7n c\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n. V\u1eady l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean v\u00e0 kinh nghi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o? L\u00e0m sao \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1eafng cao nh\u1ea5t? H\u00e3y c\u00f9ng theo d\u00f5i b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft chia s\u1ebb d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi chi ti\u1ebft c\u00f9ng nh\u1eefng b\u00ed quy\u1ebft t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 chu\u1ea9n kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n ch\u1ec9nh.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 g\u00ec?<\/h3>\n

Khi ch\u01a1i l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1, ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn ai c\u0169ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t khao kh\u00e1t m\u00ecnh s\u1ebd l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng. Tuy nhi\u00ean kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ai c\u0169ng chi\u00eam nghi\u1ec7m ra m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u l\u00e0 c\u00e1c con s\u1ed1 lu\u00f4n c\u00f3 quy lu\u1eadt quay c\u1ee7a n\u00f3. Nhi\u1ec1u anh em ch\u01a1i r\u1ea5t l\u00e2u nh\u01b0ng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 v\u1eabn c\u1ee9 l\u1eb9t \u0111\u1eb9t v\u1edbi t\u1ea7n su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang r\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p. V\u1eady t\u1ea1i sao l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u01a1i tr\u00fang l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 v\u1eady? \u0110\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n l\u00e0 b\u1edfi h\u1ecd bi\u1ebft c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1, c\u00f3 d\u1ef1 c\u1ea3m s\u1ed1 t\u1ed1t, soi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea7u k\u00e8o t\u1ed1t v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n n\u1eefa ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 may m\u1eafn.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n t\u00ednh trong ng\u00e0nh l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1, ch\u00fang gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n con l\u00f4 con \u0111\u1ec1 m\u00ecnh ch\u1ecdn l\u00e0 bao nhi\u00eau, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd t\u00ednh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n trong ng\u00e0y l\u00e0 bao nhi\u00eau. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 kinh nghi\u1ec7m \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ra quy lu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1, x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 s\u1ebd c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u01a1i.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e3 c\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng \u00edt anh em thu v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1n kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ecf nh\u1edd v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n th\u00fa v\u1ecb n\u00e0y. B\u1ea1n c\u00f3 t\u00f2 m\u00f2 v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng? H\u00e3y c\u00f9ng xem chi ti\u1ebft v\u00e0 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng n\u00f3 ngay \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f9ng nhau ph\u00e1t t\u00e0i nh\u00e9.<\/p>\n

 X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 t\u00f4<\/h3>\n

Trong ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 d\u1ef1a theo to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng cho l\u00f4 t\u00f4 c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 3 mi\u1ec1n B\u1eafc \u2013 Trung \u2013 Nam.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u1ea1m vi b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd x\u00e9t c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh l\u00f4 t\u00f4 v\u1edbi \u0111\u00e0i x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 mi\u1ec1n B\u1eafc (27 gi\u1ea3i), c\u00f2n c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh v\u1edbi \u0111\u00e0i x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 mi\u1ec1n Trung v\u00e0 mi\u1ec1n Nam (18 gi\u1ea3i) b\u1ea1n ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1.<\/p>\n

Theo \u0111\u00e0i x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 mi\u1ec1n B\u1eafc ta c\u00f3 c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 t\u00f4 nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p>\n

Khi \u0111\u00e1nh 1 con l\u00f4 mi\u1ec1n B\u1eafc t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng t\u1ed1i \u0111a s\u1ebd l\u00e0 100%. Ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 tr\u01b0\u1ee3t nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

1 con 99%<\/p>\n

2 con l\u00e0 99% x 99% t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 98%<\/p>\n

3 con s\u1ebd l\u00e0 99% x 99% x 97% t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 97%<\/p>\n

T\u00ednh t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 n\u1ebfu t\u1ea1ch h\u1ebft 27 con t\u1ee9c t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 99% nh\u00e2n v\u1edbi 27 l\u1ea7n 99% (99% ng\u0169 27)<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 suy ra x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 [1 \u2013 (99% m\u0169 27)] x 100% = 23,7%<\/p>\n

D\u1ef1 v\u00e0o c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd c\u00f3 C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c \u0103n l\u00f4 t\u00f4 = [1 \u2013 (100 \u2013 n)% m\u0169 27] x10. Trong \u0111\u00f3 n l\u00e0 s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng con m\u00e0 b\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e1nh<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady n\u1ebfu th\u1eafng 2 con l\u00f4 th\u00ec x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 43%, th\u1eafng 3 con l\u00e0 56% v\u00e0 th\u1eafng 4 con l\u00e0 67%.<\/p>\n

Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec l\u00e0 kh\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i kh\u00f4ng, h\u00e3y \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ra con s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 ghi ngay h\u00f4m nay \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i gi\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng.<\/p>\n

X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1<\/h3>\n

N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eebng t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 v\u00e0 ch\u01a1i l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 th\u00ec h\u1eb3n b\u1ea1n c\u0169ng bi\u1ebft con \u0111\u1ec1 s\u1ebd g\u1ed3m 2 ch\u1eef s\u1ed1 v\u1edbi 100 b\u1ed9 t\u1eeb s\u1ed1 00 \u2013 99, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u1eafng s\u1ebd l\u00e0 1% cho m\u1ed7i con.<\/p>\n

V\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t n\u00e0y l\u00ean, v\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1nh song th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 (t\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1nh 2 con \u0111\u1ec1) th\u00ec x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u1eafng s\u1ebd l\u00e0 2%<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1nh d\u00e0n 36 con x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u1eafng l\u00e0 36%<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1nh d\u00e0n 70 con th\u00ec x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u1eafng l\u00e0 70%<\/p>\n

D\u1ef1a v\u00e0o t\u1eebng tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p v\u00e0 ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh m\u00e0 b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc ch\u1ecdn cho m\u00ecnh c\u00e1ch ch\u01a1i v\u1ec1 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u00ednh l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p . Hi\u1ec7n nay, so v\u1edbi c\u00e1ch ghi \u0111\u1ec1 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng l\u00e0 1 \u0103n 70 th\u00ec ch\u01a1i l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 online t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 c\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u01a1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch 1 \u0103n 99.  V\u00ec v\u1eady, nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u01b0u ti\u00ean ch\u01a1i d\u00e0n nhi\u1ec1u s\u1ed1, v\u00ed d\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 d\u00e0n 70 b\u1edfi n\u1ebfu th\u1eafng th\u00ec v\u1eabn l\u1eddi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 99 ph\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n

 C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 xi\u00ean<\/h3>\n

N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n \u0111ang t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang \u0111\u1ec1, hay c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec1 xi\u00ean th\u00ec \u0111\u1eebng tho\u00e1t b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft, b\u1edfi ngay sau \u0111\u00e2y b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd c\u00f3 c\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0 b\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebft, khi ch\u01a1i l\u00f4 xi\u00ean ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd ch\u01a1i c\u00f9ng l\u00fac c\u1ea3 2 con, v\u00ec v\u1eady s\u1ebd c\u00f3 3 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 v\u1ec1 1 con duy nh\u1ea5t (tr\u01b0\u1ee3t), v\u1ec1 c\u00f9ng l\u00fac 2 con (tr\u00fang) v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 con n\u00e0o trong 2 con (tr\u01b0\u1ee3t)<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb \u0111\u00e2y t\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 suy ra x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p:<\/p>\n